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     (5)  Joining hands between Germany and Japan and 
          the probable lees of the Indian Ocean.
 
     (6)  The very important probability of German 
     occupation of Tunis, Algiers, Morocco, Dakar
     and the cutting of the ferry route through 
     Freetown and Liberia.
 
     (7)  Serious danger of all shipping in the South 
     Atlantic and serious danger to Brazil and the
     whole of the East Coast of South America. I 
     include in the above possibilities the use by the
     Germans of Spain, Portugal and other 
     territories.
 
     (8)       You will        the best methods of holding 
     the Middle East. These methods include definitely:
 
          (a) Sending aid and ground forces to the 
          Persian Gulf, to Syria and to Egypt.
 
          (b) A new operation in Morocco and Algiers 
          intended to drive in against the backdoor 
          of Rommelle armies. The attitude of French 
          Colonial troops is still in doubt.
 
     (9)  I am opposed to an American all-cut effort
in the Pacific against Japan with the view to her defeat 
as quickly as possible unless no plan can be worked out 
for British and American unity of action in Europe and 
Africa beginning in 1942. It is of the utmost importance 
that we appreciate that defeat of Japan does not defeat
Germany and that American concentration against Japan 
this year or in 1943 increases the chance of complete 
German domination of Europe and Africa. On the other 
hand, it is serious that defeat of Germany, or the holding 
of Germany in 1942 or in 1943 means probable, eventual 
defeat of Germany in the European and African theatres 
and in the Near East. Defeat of Germany means the defeat 
of Japan, probably without firing a snot or losing a life.
 
          (10)      Please remember three cardinal principles --
speed of decision on plane, unity of plans, attack combined 
with defense but not defense alone.
 
          (11)      I hope for total agreement within one week 
of your arrival.