prospect of an Allied victory in in Europe if it could be assured that
this wou[d not mean a period of anarchy after victory. Have the Allies
practical plans for maintaining order after the cessation of
hostilities? There is a belief in some of the neutral Mediterranean
countries that the Axis, if victorious, would have the means to
keep order, while the Allies, on the other hand, would not.
2. Count Ciano has no popular following in italy. He is very obviously
keeping as aloof as possible from present developments. He
is anti-German and the Germans know it and therefore do not trust
him. He desires to fade out of the picture altogether, but the Duce
will not let him. Grandi and Buttat would also like to retire, as
they are opposed to present policies; but Mussolini will not let
them either, saying "You must see this business through with me."
3. The man to lead the future Italy has not yet appeared. Marshal
Caviglia comes nearest to measuring up to the job, but he is nearly
eighty years old. Marshal Badoglio has the reputation of being too
much out for himself to be a popular leader. He might, however, prove
an adequate chief during the transition period after the fall of the
present regime. He has the confidence of the Royal Family and the Army.
Count Volpi is out as a possible leader. He is generally known to
be too "slick" a character. Grandi is too fundamentally weak. Count
Sforza has no following in Italy. He is an "unsympathetic" person
to the italian people.
October 1942