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goods, and that we can only afford to relax that policy in return for
definite concessionsin other markets, and not merely on the off-chance of
increasing our export trade in the world at large under a regime of low
tariffs and Most Favoured Nation Clause.
I would go even further and express my own grave doubts whether
anything in the nature of the proposed Monatary Fund is either likely to
come off or to be of benefit to the world if it did. At is after all based
on the assumption that the maximum of international trade is the main
object and that parity of exchange is an important contributory factor in
international trade and investment. But for countries which base their
policy, as most countries will in future, on stability of employment and
production and consequently also on the stability of the price level
internally, it will be far more important to be free to exercise complete
control over exchange and investment than to enjoy the minor convenience
of international party of exchange.
In all these matters we here seem to be in a state of
considerable uncertainty. The Government has just issued a White paper on
Employment which is based entirely on the principle that stability of
employment depends on the regutation and coutrol of expenditure and
investment. But it only applies the principle with regard to domestic
expenditure and investment and makes no attempt to follow it up in its
application to the control of imports or of foreign investments. I have
Just come across an article in your New York Times which draws attention
to this lack of illogical coherance on our part and enclose a copy of it
in case you may not have seen it.
I see Mr. Cordell Hull has been raising the question
of a world organization to preserve peace, as indeed has Mr. Churchill. My
own profound conviction is that so long as it is clearly understood that
the world organization exists for conference and conciliation and, as
such, definitely excludes coercion from its purview, it may fulfil a very
useful function in creating world opinion in fayour of peace and in
helping to adjust many minor differences, which,
if allowed to develop, might become more serious, on the other hand, if
the world organization professes, again as such, to enforce peace it will
inevitably break down and by its very existence paralyze the action of
individual nations who might be prepared to preserve peace. The League of
ations played a very useful part during the years between.