-4- goods, and that we can only afford to relax that policy in return for definite concessionsin other markets, and not merely on the off-chance of increasing our export trade in the world at large under a regime of low tariffs and Most Favoured Nation Clause. I would go even further and express my own grave doubts whether anything in the nature of the proposed Monatary Fund is either likely to come off or to be of benefit to the world if it did. At is after all based on the assumption that the maximum of international trade is the main object and that parity of exchange is an important contributory factor in international trade and investment. But for countries which base their policy, as most countries will in future, on stability of employment and production and consequently also on the stability of the price level internally, it will be far more important to be free to exercise complete control over exchange and investment than to enjoy the minor convenience of international party of exchange. In all these matters we here seem to be in a state of considerable uncertainty. The Government has just issued a White paper on Employment which is based entirely on the principle that stability of employment depends on the regutation and coutrol of expenditure and investment. But it only applies the principle with regard to domestic expenditure and investment and makes no attempt to follow it up in its application to the control of imports or of foreign investments. I have Just come across an article in your New York Times which draws attention to this lack of illogical coherance on our part and enclose a copy of it in case you may not have seen it. I see Mr. Cordell Hull has been raising the question of a world organization to preserve peace, as indeed has Mr. Churchill. My own profound conviction is that so long as it is clearly understood that the world organization exists for conference and conciliation and, as such, definitely excludes coercion from its purview, it may fulfil a very useful function in creating world opinion in fayour of peace and in helping to adjust many minor differences, which, if allowed to develop, might become more serious, on the other hand, if the world organization professes, again as such, to enforce peace it will inevitably break down and by its very existence paralyze the action of individual nations who might be prepared to preserve peace. The League of ations played a very useful part during the years between. |