-2-#6148, December 19, 8 p.m. (SECTION THREE) from London
 
to come from the United States of America and if Russia were at war with Japan from the USSR 
 
vhich has some 90 submarines based on Vladivostok.
 
          With regard to the air, reinforcements would have to come from the United States of 
 
America and the United Kingdom and the detemrination of what can be sent wouldnecessitate a 
 
review of the requirements of all theaters of operation and a determination as to the degree of 
 
priority to be accorded to each.
 
          The  provision of submarines and aircraft has been suggested above is for the defensive side 
 
of the war in the Far East. A defensive strategy, howevr is not sufficient as it would probably only 
 
result in ths consolidation of her gains, the replenishmerit of her vital supplies and the 
 
strengthening of the position af Japan.
 
          Our strategy must, therefore, contemplate the offensive also.  Offensive action on the sea 
 
would appear to be postponed for some considerable time.
 
                              WINANT
 
KLP