WAR DEPARTMENT
WAR DEPARTMENT GENERAL STAFF
 
MILITARY INTELLIGENCE DIVISION Q-2
 
WAS H I NGTON
 
January 20, 1942.
 
MEMORANDUM FOR MR. LAUCHLIN CURRIE:
 
             Subject: Military and Political Situation in Burma.
 
          1. Present Military Situation. (See map). The Japanese have occupied Tavoy and are
probably in possession of all of Burma south of that point. Another penetration has been made by
a considerable force through Mecawt toward Moulmein, on the east coast of the Gulf of Eartaran.
Concentrations of Japanese forces around Chiengmai make possible a thrust toward Tounggoo or
Kengtung. The Japanese will probably invade Burma in the near future, advancing via Mesawt
and Moulmein to capture Rangoon or cut the Burma Road. It is estimated that they can capture
Rangoon in not to exceed five weeks thereafter unless Burma receives heavy ground and air
reinforcements.
 
 
2.Political Situation. The recent arrest of the
Premier of Burma is indicative of the serious internal situation existing in that country. Burmese
opinion is reported to be anti-British, anti-Hindu and anti-Chinese, antagonisms based upon
various forms of alleged economic exploitation. Where there is widespread civilian unrest, a force
of 35,000 w111 find it difficult to police a population of 15,000,OOO. Possible fifth columns,
sabotage or large-scale revolt cannot be overlooked. The press on January 20, 19&2, quoted
British sources to the effect that the Burmese are loyal and quiet. Sir Paw
Tun, the new Premier, was formerly home minister (with supervision of police) and has the
confidence of the British Government. The strength of his present influence with the Burmese is
not known.
 
3. Military Forces.
 
a. British forces. The British have approximately 35,000 troops in Burma. 0‚ these, there are not
more than &,000
British and 7,000 Indians, the remaining forces conslisting of Burmese troops with British
officers. The Burmese units vary in quality, ranging from excellent troops only slightly inferior to
Indian units to irregulars of negligible military value. Known dispositions are indicated on the map
enclosed herewith.
 
b. Chinese forces. The 5th and 6th Chinese Corps are on the Burma-Chinese border. Their combat
value is unknown.
 
c. Japanese forces. The Japanese have an estimated