consumption in German dominated countries as well as additional slaughter of herds in Denmark and the Netherlands. Supplies of animals feedstuffs are, in any event, inadequate to maintain live stock population in these countries. Restoration of German meat rations to the pre-June level would necessitate a reduction in German livestock numbers. 6. Fats and oils are the weakest element in Germany's food position. In the year 1940-41, the German fats and oil stockpile had to supply over 20 percent of her domestic human utilization of such foods. Stocks on August 1, 194I, were estimated at lithe more than one month's consumption. Domestic production can supply only about 60 percent of requirements at the current level of rationing. Further curtailment of consumption during the coming winter and spring is definitely called for, unless additional supplies not now in prospect can be obtained. The present supply position, however, permits a level of consumption above that of 1916-18. 7. The German standard of living in items other than food has undergone substantial curtailment since the outbreak of war. New clothing rations have been introduced in October which involve a reduction of 50 percent from those previously in effect. Leather is as virtually ceased to be a civilian consumers good. Fuel for domestic heating has been available only in limited amounts. Most durable consumer goods, already sharply curtailed before the outbreak of war, have become unavailable. In general, however, these shortages are not as dangerous, potentially, as those in nutritional foodstuffs. 8. Only the German position with respect to meats, fats, and oils emerges, as of possible strategic importance in the area of the economy examined here. Supplies for the 1941-42 year, however, may not present any insuperable difficulties. But, Germany will enter the 1942-45 year with depleted stocks of these commodities. Her present sources of imports will be able to provide less than in the current year, and it is unlikely that a victory in Russia can appreciably add to her prospects. Germany will have to depend more upon home production, particularly of' livestock--which supplies the bulk of domestic fats and oils, as well as meats. |