FROM: LT. COMD. EARLE
TO:     MR. HARRY HOPKINS
 
DATE:   2 OCTOBER 1943
 
     REFERENCE MY LAST TELEGRAM REGARDING POSSIBLE GERMAN
REPRAISALS.  MAVROUDI TURKISH CITIZEN OF GREEK BLOOD CORRESPONDENT
HERE LONDON TIMES GIVES ME FOLLOWING: GERMAN WOMAN CONSIDERED
RELIABLE TELLS HIM SHE PERSONALLY SAW 3 WEEKS AGO LETTER ADDRESSED
TO ALL HIGH GERMAN OFFICIALS FROM BERLIN TELLING THEM TO HAVE NO
WORRY ABOUT MILITARY SITUATION AS IN RELATIVELY SHORT TIME AN
ATTACK SO TERRIBLE WOULD BE MADE ON ENGLAND THAT FEW BRITISH
INHABITANTS WOULD SURVIVE.  THE NATURE OF THE ATTACK WAS NOT GIVEN. 
MAVROUDI WITH ME BELIEVES THIS IS GERMAN PROPAGANDA BUT HE AND I
ARE NOT SURE.  I ASK MYSELF THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS: FIRST WOULD
HITLER, GOERING, GOEBBELS REPEATEDLY PROMISE TO GERMAN PEOPLE
TERRIBLE REPRISALS FOR SO CALLED BRITISH TERROR RAIDS REALIZING
FAILURE OF THESE REPRISALS TO MATERIALIZE WOULD INTENSIFY ALREADY
BAD GERMAN MORALE AND COMPLETELY DISCREDIT THEMSELVES.  SECOND
ARE THE NAZI LEADERS TO STUPID AS TO BELIEVE CIRCULATION OF VAGUE
AND OMINOUS WHISPERS OF IMPENDING DOOM WOULD MODIFY UNITED
NATIONS TERMS OF UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER.  THIRD IS COMPARATIVE
INACTIVITY OF LUFTWAFFE AN INDICATION OF PREPARATIONS FOR SOME
GREAT BLITZ.