NC                                                          LONDON
This telegram must be                              Dated September 11, 1939
 closely paraphrased                                 Rec'd 11:48 a.m.
 before being communicated
 to anyone. (D)
 
 
Secretary of State
 Washington
 
 
 
TRIPLE PRIORITY.
 
1578, September 11,   2 p.m. (SECTION TWO)
 
within a month or six weeks from Germany to England to
 
give up the struggle. He sizes the situation up in this way:
 
 Neither the French nor the Germans can make any appreciable
 
 headway against each other. He said that the French advance
 
 now is almost like the Lancers -- three steps forward and three
 
 steps back; that it is extremely unlikely, except at the cost of an
 
 incredible massacre, that either side could break through either line.
 
 The navy, of course, can patrol the seas but the results of this will
 
 not be felt acutely for some time to come. In the meantime then,
 
 there is nothing left but air war. He said that at the minute Germany
 
 cut numbers in bombers the British two to one, although he feels the
 
 British outnumber the Germans in fighters; that it will be a struggle in
 
 the air to see whose morale will break first. The British have despatched
 
 practically all their bombsrs to France but are still keeping them under 
 
English command. The problem Hoare feels, will arise from a condition
 
 something like this: After the French have had a number  of