Excerpt from a letter to Mr. Merriman from Professor George
M. Trevelyan, dated January 28, 1939.
You ask for my 'views' on the world situation. I would not
have bothered you with them otherwise. They are of course very
gloomy.
I think Chamberlain was quite right not to have fought a war
to 'save' Czecho Slovakia in October last, because the war must
have been unsuccessful. Russia is down and out and can be written
off -- she won't or rather can't even save China from Japan.
In the Czech question the Germans had Poland and Hungary on their
side and the Czechs would have been overrun at once by all three.
The only way to 'save' them would have been for France to break
the German lines in the West and with England's help conquer
Germany and Italy, aided by the Japanese fleet attacking our
trade. It would in short have been an offensive war on our part
strategically -- to smash through Germany to Czecho Slovakia,
and our military and well-informed people all said and say it
was hopeless. The French found that out, - too late as usual.
The Czechs were their Tallies' not ours, and they (and we) ought
to have told them in the spring that we could do nothing for
them and they must make the best terms they could with Germany
about their three million German subjects.
If, as I understand, your fellow citizens think we ought to
have fought this war, I think they misunderstood the possibilities,
as you were to remain neutral yourselves. Munich saved the Czechs
so far as it was possible to save them. But it does not follow
that if (as seems likely soon) Germany and Italy attack France
and England, we shall be conquered in a defensive war. We may
or may not be, but we are preparing to die in the last ditch
at worst. However, we may defend ourselves successfully. In any
case nothing will be left of civilization except machinery --
which I don't care about -- after the war is over, whoever 'wins'
it. The only thing that will stop a war coming pre %tty soon --
since Hitler and Mussolini are both 'rabid' men -- would be the
United States letting them know that you will take part if they
make aggression. But as I gather there is little chance of that,
I think the prospects are very black indeed.
In the last war England plus France plus Italy plus Russia
plus Japan plus (half way through) the United States only just
beat Germany and Austria. How do you expect England plus France
alone to "crush the dictators" with Germany, Austria,
Italy and Japan against us? If you don't want Europe and Africa
to be prostrate at the feet of Germany and her allies, with Japan
in possession of Asia, you had better be reconsidering your isolation
policy before you are indeed 'isolated'. Nazism, as contagious
as Jacobinism of old, has already landed in South America I understand.
But whatever you choose