Excerpt from a letter to Mr. Merriman from Professor George M. Trevelyan, dated January 28, 1939. You ask for my 'views' on the world situation. I would not have bothered you with them otherwise. They are of course very gloomy. I think Chamberlain was quite right not to have fought a war to 'save' Czecho Slovakia in October last, because the war must have been unsuccessful. Russia is down and out and can be written off -- she won't or rather can't even save China from Japan. In the Czech question the Germans had Poland and Hungary on their side and the Czechs would have been overrun at once by all three. The only way to 'save' them would have been for France to break the German lines in the West and with England's help conquer Germany and Italy, aided by the Japanese fleet attacking our trade. It would in short have been an offensive war on our part strategically -- to smash through Germany to Czecho Slovakia, and our military and well-informed people all said and say it was hopeless. The French found that out, - too late as usual. The Czechs were their Tallies' not ours, and they (and we) ought to have told them in the spring that we could do nothing for them and they must make the best terms they could with Germany about their three million German subjects. If, as I understand, your fellow citizens think we ought to have fought this war, I think they misunderstood the possibilities, as you were to remain neutral yourselves. Munich saved the Czechs so far as it was possible to save them. But it does not follow that if (as seems likely soon) Germany and Italy attack France and England, we shall be conquered in a defensive war. We may or may not be, but we are preparing to die in the last ditch at worst. However, we may defend ourselves successfully. In any case nothing will be left of civilization except machinery -- which I don't care about -- after the war is over, whoever 'wins' it. The only thing that will stop a war coming pre %tty soon -- since Hitler and Mussolini are both 'rabid' men -- would be the United States letting them know that you will take part if they make aggression. But as I gather there is little chance of that, I think the prospects are very black indeed. In the last war England plus France plus Italy plus Russia plus Japan plus (half way through) the United States only just beat Germany and Austria. How do you expect England plus France alone to "crush the dictators" with Germany, Austria, Italy and Japan against us? If you don't want Europe and Africa to be prostrate at the feet of Germany and her allies, with Japan in possession of Asia, you had better be reconsidering your isolation policy before you are indeed 'isolated'. Nazism, as contagious as Jacobinism of old, has already landed in South America I understand. But whatever you choose |