to which they will be put. We have no information to show 
      that anything like three hundred thousand men have been called 
      up or that a general or even partial mobilization is in progress.
 
      
 
 
9.Fact that thirty thousand of the sixty thousand men referred 
      to above are to be sent to Libya is at first sight disquieting 
      but it should be noted that they are rather old for active military 
      service and have had only very scrappy training during post-war 
      period. It is of course possible that despite the definite statements 
      of the Italian Government younger men will be sent to Libya instead.
 
      
 
 
10.It appears to be true that some German experts have been 
      in Libya but we do not believe that there can be any German military 
      units there.
 
      
 
 
11.Recently there have been some signs of unusual naval activity 
      in Italy.
 
      
 
 
12.Our general impression is that there has been an abnormal 
      amount of military activity in Italy of late but that it is at 
      least premature to deduce that Signor Mussolini has decided to 
      resort to war in the immediate future. The present activity may 
      be merely an insurance against unexpected developments in Spain 
      or a prelude to an attempt to blackmail the French into meeting 
      Italian demands; but such explanations are of course highly speculative.
 
      
 
 
Certain Italian officials have recently been asserting that 
      Signor Mussolini will make war on France if the position of the 
      Italian colony in Tunis is not settled to his satisfaction. This 
      may however merely be part of a campaign to frighten the French 
      and