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       (2) CRETE.
         It is estimated that by July 1, 1943, there will be 
in CRETE
 
     1 Italian Infantry Division, Reinforced - 30,000 men
     1 German Motorized Division     )
     1 German Infantry Division         )
     1 Luftwaffe Feld Division            )        - 50,000 men
     AA and Coast Defense units        )
     Service Troops                             )
                                       Total AXIS forces  80,000 men
 
       (3) It is estimated that the AXIS will withdraw their 
garrisons on the smaller AEGEAN islands into CRETE, the 
Greek mainland, and the larger islands in the DODECANESE. 
The AXIS will not further reinforce CRETE since they will 
probably consider the forces sufficient to hold the island. 
 
    c. Naval.
       It can be expected that miscellaneous local defense 
craft and submarines will be encountered.
 
11. Estimate be UNITED NATIONS forces required.
 
a. Air.
        Type                     THE DODECANESE    CRETE   
Heavy Bombers                          350                      96
Medium Bombers                       550                    399
L/D Bombers                              300                    228 
Fighters (exclusive of                            
    carrier based a/c)                    600                     450
Troop Carriers                            600                     416
Photo Reconnaissance                  13                       13
Observation                                   50                       50
 
     Total land-based a/c            2,463                   1,652
     Carrier based a/c                    320                       -- 
          Total air forces               2,783                   1,652
 
 
 
                                           - 6 -
 
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