4. Conclusions.
a. Advantages.
(1) The operation continues pressure on the AXIS in the
MEDITERRANEAN region, thereby decreasing AXIS forces avail-
able for deployment in RUSSIA or in western EUROPE.
(2) It provides advanced bases, bringing the PLOESTI
oil fields and DANUBE RIVER traffic within effective heavy
bomber range.
(3) It can be accomplished by UNITED NATIONS forces in
the MEDITERRANEAN area.
(4) It contributes directly toward the elimination of
the Italian Navy as a factor in the MEDITERRANEAN.
(5) Successful accomplishment will stiffen Spanish
neutrality and will be an added factor to induce TURKEY
to join the UNITED NATIONS.
(6) It establishes a base for further operations against
AXIS forces in the Balkans.
(7) It offers an opportunity for active assistance to
guerillas in YUGOSLAVIA and GREECE.
b. Disadvantages.
(1) The initial landing cannot be supported by land-
based fighters.
(2) Support by carrier aircraft brings the carriers
within effective range of enemy shore-based aircraft and
motor torpedo boats, and exposes them to submarine attack.
(3) The Heel cannot in itself be regarded as a major
bridgehead for teentry into the Continent.
(4) The AXIS reaction to the operation may be an advance
through SPAIN.
(5) The lodgement will depend on vulnerable lines of
communication.
c. Advisability of the operation.
The operation should be undertaken only if the use of
aircraft carriers is feasible and if the collapse of Italy is
imminent.
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