(2) Under assumption a it is estimated that an addi-
    tional 1329 aircraft of all types could be moved into 
    this area. This includes AXIS reinforcement from the 
    central MEDITERRANEAN only.
           (3) The airdromes in GREECE, CRETE, and the DODECA-
    NESE will support any force the AXIS can deploy. The size of 
    the force that will actually be employed will depend upon 
    the importance the AXIS attaches to this area. 
 
    b. Ground.
     It is estimated that by July l, 1943 there will be in
 
CRETE:
 
    One Italian Infantry Division, Reinforced      -  30,000 men
 
    One German Motorized Division        )   
 
    One German Infantry Division            )          - 50,000 men
 
    One Luftwaffe Field Division              )
    AA, Coast Defense and Service Troops)       ----------------
                            Total AXIS Forces                 80,000 men
 
          It is estimated that the AXIS will withdraw their gar-
risons on the smaller Aegean Islands into CRETE, the GREEK 
mainland, and the larger islands in the DODECANESE. The 
AXIS will not further reinforce CRETE, since the forces 
probably would be considered sufficient to hold the island.
 
     c. Naval.
         It can be expected that miscellaneous local defense 
craft and submarines will be encountered.
 
11. Estimate of UNITED NATIONS forces required.
      a. Air.
          Air Force                                      2783
     Heavy Bombers                      350
     Medium Bombers                   550
     L/D Bombers                          300
     Fighters (exclusive of 
         carrier-based a/c)                600
     Troop Carrier                          600
     Photo Reconnaissance              13
     Observation                              50
                                               ------------
                                                  2,463
 
 
                                     -5 -