- 2 - which have the effect of reducing the demand for free sterling and of increasing the proportion of our exports which can be used to pay for imports. The effect of lowering the rate is natural and was expected; what we have done is to strengthen our exchange control, and it would be a travesty to say that by so doing we are deliberately depreciating our currency. On the contrary, weakness in sterling due to the erratic market abroad is the natural corollary of an efficient control over exchange transactions, and it must be expected that despite the effects upon the rate for free sterling we shall continue to strengthen and extend our control in this and other ways. Criticism which asserts that the fall in the rate is damaging to our prestige is due to the failure to appreciate that the market and the rate are dominated by the official transactions, and that the free markets deal only with a small overflow which we are concerned to diminish but not to manage. The relative unimportance of the movements in the free sterling rate is demonstrated by the advance of the quotation from the low point of 3.44 to 3.60 while this telegram was being drafted. The thinner the market the larger the fluctuations are likely to be. 30th March 1940. |