-2- It is recommend that in discussion with the British and Russians we should adopt the policies given below as a basis for agreed action during the period of Allied control. a) We should go along with the British and Russians in accepting large responsibilities for the guidance and reorientation of German economic life. It is altogether unlikely that a "hands off" policy would be accepted and adhered to by all major powers. Consequently, we must be pre- pared to take all possible steps in the initial phases of occupation to prevent development of a chaotically unmanageable economic situation, since this is a prerequisite to the excercise of effective economic control. b) Economic disarmament should include prohibition of the manufacture of land and naval armament and all types of aircraft; destruction of spe- cialized facilities used for the manufacture of these items; and establishment of permanent or semi-permanent controls to detect surreptitious preparation for rearmament, research on new weapons and stockpiling of key materials. C) In addition, consideration should be given to selective prohibitions during the control period upon the manufacture of a few key industrial items, such as syntehetic gasoline, synthetic rubber and certain types of machine tools and precision apparatus, and general prohibitions or restrictions on certain categories of German exports, particularly in the field of metals, metal products and chemicals. Sweeping measures of economic impairment are unnecessary if effec- tive security organization is maintained, and are unenforceable in the absence of such security organization. However, the heavy industry sector of the German economy could be substantially contracted during a control period in ways which will aid the recovery and industrial development of other European countries without crippling Germany's capacity to meet the basic needs of her population. Within a broad range, therefore, the problems is largely one of judging what mea- sures will receive the support and contribute to the solidarity of the victors. |