S E C R E T
 
     It should be pointed out that the 18 divisions include
3 U. S.. Marine Divisions. The withdrawal of these units to 
the central PACIFIC would require their replacement with
3 Army Divisions.
          The status of the availability of the amphibious equip-
ment for this operation cannot be determined until after the
RABAUL campaign.
     b. Air
         A total of 3048 combat aircraft are estimated to be 
required for this operation. As of January 1, 1944, 2579 
will be available. This includes Army, Navy, R.A.A.F., and 
R.N.Z.A.F. This indicates a shortage of 469 aircraft. In
addition some adjustment as to types may be necessary.
     c. Naval
         In view of the other operations which may be conducted
in the PACIFIC, such as the BISMARCK, CAROLINE, or MARSHALLS 
operations, the requirements and availability of naval forces 
for the capture of NEW GUINEA cannot be determined.
 
22. Operations in the MARSHALL and CAROLINE ISLANDS
      a. Ground
          The defense of the MARSHALL and CAROLINE ISLANDS will 
require 3 Army Divisions. One division may be obtained from 
HAWAII by reducing the strength of the garrison to 2 divisions. 
The remaining 2 divisions must come from the UNITED STATES.
      b. Air  (MARSHALLS)
          (less carrier-based)
 
                         Assault     Garrison
 
              B (H)       96              72
     
              B (M)              0              72
 
              B (L/D)           0             180
 
                Ftr           200             221
                         296             545
 
 
                    - 25 -