-3-
 
      (VII) It is believed, but not confirmed that the two aircraft 
      carriers from which the attack against HAWAII was launched were 
      the SORYU and OIUKAKU. They normally carry: SORYU, 12 fighters, 
      12 torpedo bombers and 18 dive bombers. OIUKAKU, 12 fighters 
      and 36 torpedo bombers and/or dive bombers. The attack therefore 
      probably did not exceed this scale. The torpedo bombers can carry 
      torpedoes or bombs. Air attacks on MANILA could have been made 
      either from FORMOSA or CANTON, more probably the former. Air 
      attacks on SINGAPORE will most probably have been delivered by 
      aircraft based on SOCTRANG.
 
      
 
 
(VIII) The Japanese occupation of THAILAND will, subject to 
      their being able to ship the commodities to JAPAN, assure the 
      supply of some 48,000 tons of rubber per annum and valuable supplies 
      of tin from the provinces South of the KRA Isthmus. This rubber 
      from THAILAND will, together with that from INDO-CHINA, provide 
      JAPAN with all the supplies she needs and allow for some export 
      to FRANCE or GERMANY. The quantity of tin available may be limited 
      by immobilisation of mining machinery. Small but useful quantities 
      of wolfram and zinc are also available. From the Northern provinces, 
      JAPAN will have access to substantial supplies of rice which 
      will provide her with a margin of safety, and also useful supplies 
      of hides. Prior to occupation JAPAN obtained from THAILAND all 
      the rice and hides she asked for, most of the rubber but less 
      than 1/3 of the tin.
 
      
 
 
(IX) OCEAN ISLAND was attacked from the air on 8th and 9th. 
      Serious damage to residency. No other damage reported.
 
      Last paragraph received indecypherable. Check requested.