and Mindanao in the Philippine Islands. Less complete
enquiries were made regarding a number of other areas. A
scheme for a refugee settlement in British Guiana, to be backed
by certain financial assistonce from the British Government,
had reached an advanced stage, when war intervened, and for
the time being at any rote the scheme had to be abandoned.
The same was true of Mindanao. As regards Northern Rhodesia,
the estimated cost of settlement was so high, and its
potential scope so small, that it was hardly worth pursuing.
In San Domingo, on the other hand, a very liberal agreement
under the auspices of the Intergovernmental Committee was
concluded between the Dominican Republic and the Dominican
Republic Settlement Association, a body set up for the purpose
and financed from various sources in the U.S.A. The initial
object of the Association is to establish a pioneer settlement
of five hundred families, in order to determine one way or
another whether persons of Central European origin can beccme
self-supporting under sub-tropical Conditions in an agricultural
settlement combining certain industries closely related to
agriculture. The scheme is still proceeding, and by September
1941, 413 settlers were at Sosua. The Dominican Republic
Settlement Association has devoted much thought and care to
the settlement, and has done a good deal of preliminary work
in the breaking up of land, the erection of farm and other
buildings, the introduction of new crops, and the physical
health of the settlers. So far as any forecast can be made,
the present indications are that the prospects of success are
not unfavourable, provided that sufficient capital is available
to meet the very considerable overhead cherges during
the period of experimentation in commercial crops before the
settlement becomes self-supporting. But as yet no positive
answer can be given either on the economic aspect of the experiment,
or on the qugstion as to whether Europeans can
essfully carry out agricultural work in sub-tropical conditi
Before the war it was fairly clear that the scope of
large-scale settlement was limited. The first difficulty
is that of finance. The cost per family is high, and there
is usually an initial period of several years before the
settler becomes self-supporting. Even after this he can only
repay the capital spent on his behalf over a long period of
years, and there is always the very real danger of overloading
him with a burden of long-term debt. On the other hand, if he
does not make a considerable contribution towards this capital
expenditure, the cost becomes prohibitive. Again, the only
practical form of settlement dealing with large numbers is
agricultural, associated in some cases with allied industries,
As a producer of primary products, the settler is dependent
on world markets, and since the last war, the experience of
agricultural producers has fluctuated between a short boom
and a long and very deep depression. It is quite impossible
to forecast what may happen to primary producers after the
present war. Some yesrs may intervene before a safe estimate
can be made. At all events, there will be great uncertainty
for some time. It will be unsafe to embark on big schemes
of land settlement without obtaining the best advise obtainable,
and it may be doubted whether the economist will be
able to give a positive opinion. Two conditions will most
probably have to be satisfied: first, a low capital cost per
family; and second, the careful selection as settlers of
persons who are hereditary agriculturalists, or who have had
a very thorough training. The transfer of peasants from one
European area to another may, however, be a practical proposition,
when it would not be feasible to transfer refugees
ith no agricultural traditions to countries where the climat