0
 
           Above scales o- attac_, re resent ~:.aximvum considered ~ossible -,n conditions P. ost favov~ab!e Javanese.~ Condi*ions~ in para~-'ap~o~ 3 ~ra~t~     ~ iirst be
 
          .A--A.                                                                                         ' J--
fulf-~'~led, and operations involved reprosen~ for-
hidable task. In these operations, co~foat losses waste of aircraft would be heavy.
 
to
 
and
 
8.          0PERATICNS IiT BUR~g'~
 
            ~T
            z ,,ecessity of retain:ng forces on nortker:muos~-
                                                                                                -Z                               4J
 
front against -o~ssible ~uzsian at:~ac~-
                        _ ~            _.               '-   ~'~ in spring and
~.arrisoning o~ C'~                           ":e                        _
~               ..         :~=na and ot.._ r ,~ err i 'c or,,,- c tured,
all representi~,~.' heavy drain on Javanese resources, partic~llarly in air.
 
9.       In these circ,,~ustances Japanese ::lght
hesitate before_ attemmting, occ~-oation. ~ of continents
such' as ~'.ustra! ia or even the s::-aller ~errit ~-~
                                              o~j of
New Zealand, particularly i?. view of their experience in China.
 
10      Such further dissi'}at~on of their forces r;isht seriously jeopardize Japanese power to hold territory
                                 ......                                 z ~mer i c
gained_, in view of ~ncre~siNS strer:sth of"                                   _ ans.
 
11 .        CONCLUSION .
 
            It seems likely that Japan v,'iil at this stage be content with e:.~.deavouring to isolate Australia and 1Tew Zealand without om~ar.,cing on major operat4ons to
      J- .
southwards e:~ce:}t for ca?}ture of DaL*:in.                                      ~.ttack on
                               ~.
m -t ---"                     ~                        z
 azvJ~n likely in any event