-3-
terms of the adjustment of domestic prices or of stimulus
to export trade, tend to be lost vis-a-vis Germany. The
device aims to establish a special depreciated German mark,
and this, of course, implies a corresponding appreciation
of the dollar in terms of the German mark.
6. The sale of German marks at a considerable discount
is likely to assert a depressional influence on American
prices and seriously affect those American industries which
are subject to sharp German competition. The power to sell
marks at a large discount might have a considerable effect
upon a wide range of American prices. The sale of German
marks at a discount of 41 percent would be equivalent to a
kind of dumping, which might represent a serious competitive
threat for many American industries. Consideration needs
to be given to the political implications involved in this
threatened intensified German competition. Substantially
the same result would, to be sure, follow from an open
depreciation of the German mark. But there is the.important
difference that, under the proposed plan, the depreciation
of the mark would be actively promoted by our own action,
and, therefore, any unfavorable reaction upon our own
industries could be charged directly to our own Government.
7. The proposed plan is clearly to Germany's advantage,
but offers little advantage and many disadvantages for the
United States. If Germany secures a preferred market for
her