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additional concessions he desires from Great Britain,
namely: the demilitarization of Gibraltar and Malta,
the neutralization of the Mediterranean, and (as a
minimum) British Somaliland. He desires to retain his
strong nuisance value until he can get at the same time
what he wants from both Allies.
A highly Intelligent Italian high up in the Gov-
ernment said to me "It was a great tragedy for Italy
when Mussolini visited Berlin two years ago." What he
means was that Mussolini was there enormously impressed
with German military strength, and with the ruthless
efficiency of German organization. He came back
believing, and I think believes today, that Germany
power cannot be defeated. It is highly probable that
he fears for his own new northern frontiers, as the new
Italian fortifications along the Austrian boundry show,
but I cannot help but feel that his haftred for Great
Britain and France is so powerful, and his faith in
German military supremacy so strong, that he will not
modify his axis policy until and unless an Allied victory
is indisputably evident.
If, on the other hand, Germany obtains some rapid
apparent victories, such as the occupation of Holland
and Belgium, I fear very much that Mussolini would then
force Italy in on the German side--and I use the word
"force" advisedly.
No one in the Italian Government wants Italy to get
into the war. Count Ciano is violently against it, and
no one else in the Government at this moment is more
than a figurehead. The General Staff is strongly against
it,