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                            Page 4                           No. 230
 
     Earliest date on which forces could be concentrated on 
Turkish Frontier, Z plus 2-1/2 months. Earliest date on 
which force could reach Syrian Frontier. Turkey acquiescent 
Z plus 4-3/4 months. Turkey resistance incalculable.
 
     (C) Invasion of British Isles.
 
          Land force required: 30 divisions (including 9 armoured), 
exclusive of Divisions required for diversion.
 
          Air Force required: - Full first line strength, denuding 
all other theatres of war.
 
          Naval forces required: - Substantially the whole German 
Navy would be involved. Earliest date by which force could be 
concentrated in west. Z plus 3 to 4 months.
 
          (D) Operations in Central and Western Mediterranean.
 
          (i) Through Iberian Peninsula against Gibraltar and French 
North Africa. Land and Air Forces required - since these 
operations only likely to be contemplated by Germans to fore-
stall or counter Allied action, they would have to employ such 
forces as they could muster at the time. Timing would similar- 
ly depend on the state of affairs then existing.
 
     (ii) Through North African ports against Egypt from west
possibly in conjunction with an attack through Turkey. Land
force required - 7 divisions made up say as follows: - 2 German
armoured divisions, 1 German motorised division; 1 Italian
armoured division, 1 Italian motorised division, 2 Italian in-
fantry divisions.
       
     Assuming of Axis forces now in Libya, equivalent of 1 ar-
mour, 1 motorised and 2 infantry division will still be in
area. These are included in above. Air Force required - the
force set out in sub paragraph (B) above would cover this
operation. Earliest date by which force in TRIPOLITANIA could
be reinforced. Not using Tunisian ports - 3 months from date of
embarkation. Using Tunisian ports - 1-1/2 months from date of
embarkation.
 
14. Above, putting into terms of CALENDAR and assuming 15th
February as earliest date on which substantial force can be
withdrawn from Russia, gives earliest date for stage referred
to above as follows: -
 
     (a)  l. Earliest date of concentration on the south Russian
                     sector 1st 1May.
                 2. Fall of Rostov 15th May.
                 3. Occupation of MAIKOP-TUAPSE area 15th June to 30th
 
 
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