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being discussed by the Four Powers in Washington this week and which you
have seen or soon will see, is a workable plan. As the features regarding
the regulation of armaments and pecifying forces and facilities to be
available require legislative ratifacation, it would seem wise now to have
a Four Power interim agreement to provide force to keep the peace for the
third period from the end of the fighting until such special agreements
can be formulated and concluded.
Your observations regarding world economic problems interest me very much.
Your profound interest in this phase of national and international affairs
is based upon similar belief on my part. The political structure
is dependent upon the economic for its permanence. How far national
interest is to be or in some cases must be paramount is a question
requiring careful study.
My reaction after months of effort to frame a simple formula
that would be applicable and workable as well as enduring, left me in
doubt. This state of mind was not improved by our preliminary discussions
in the Washington meetings between your economic exports and our own last
September-October of which I acted as Chairman. We reached only a
preliminary stage, but went far enough to develop many of the
difficulties. We reached no definite conclusions. We adjourned to
reassemble in January but; did not. Nothing has happened since except in
certain special fields such as aviation, oil, etc. etc.
Your paragraph 3, page 2 et sq. leads to further doubt whether a
world economic policy of a permanent charactor is possible. One permanent
feature of the proposed international organization that has been stressed
a good deal is an economic bureau which would make a continuing study of
international trade and commerce, and serve in course of time to bring
about same of the major projects for a more free world trade
In the stress of war and its conclusion and its immediate aftermath I am
not confident that the various and mighty questions in the field of
national and world economy can be made clear on the soundest lines, or
translated into immediate practice, so fluctuating are the movements of
trade, influenced by varying productive factors affecting cost, ect. ect.
Your expressed thoughts are far more crystallized than my own. An
economic commissiion to study such projects could be set up promptly, and
in time it could give way to or be absorbed by that arm of the
international organization which would deal permanently with those
problems.
Regarding World Bank and Stabilizations Funds- the Bretton Woods
Conference did its best, I assume, to find a sound and workable plan
in both