-3- being discussed by the Four Powers in Washington this week and which you have seen or soon will see, is a workable plan. As the features regarding the regulation of armaments and pecifying forces and facilities to be available require legislative ratifacation, it would seem wise now to have a Four Power interim agreement to provide force to keep the peace for the third period from the end of the fighting until such special agreements can be formulated and concluded. Your observations regarding world economic problems interest me very much. Your profound interest in this phase of national and international affairs is based upon similar belief on my part. The political structure is dependent upon the economic for its permanence. How far national interest is to be or in some cases must be paramount is a question requiring careful study. My reaction after months of effort to frame a simple formula that would be applicable and workable as well as enduring, left me in doubt. This state of mind was not improved by our preliminary discussions in the Washington meetings between your economic exports and our own last September-October of which I acted as Chairman. We reached only a preliminary stage, but went far enough to develop many of the difficulties. We reached no definite conclusions. We adjourned to reassemble in January but; did not. Nothing has happened since except in certain special fields such as aviation, oil, etc. etc. Your paragraph 3, page 2 et sq. leads to further doubt whether a world economic policy of a permanent charactor is possible. One permanent feature of the proposed international organization that has been stressed a good deal is an economic bureau which would make a continuing study of international trade and commerce, and serve in course of time to bring about same of the major projects for a more free world trade In the stress of war and its conclusion and its immediate aftermath I am not confident that the various and mighty questions in the field of national and world economy can be made clear on the soundest lines, or translated into immediate practice, so fluctuating are the movements of trade, influenced by varying productive factors affecting cost, ect. ect. Your expressed thoughts are far more crystallized than my own. An economic commissiion to study such projects could be set up promptly, and in time it could give way to or be absorbed by that arm of the international organization which would deal permanently with those problems. Regarding World Bank and Stabilizations Funds- the Bretton Woods Conference did its best, I assume, to find a sound and workable plan in both |