c. Naval.
         The Italian Navy consists of 7 BB, 3 CA, l0 CL, I AVP, 
71 DD, and 67 SS. Overhaul and damage should reduce the 
effective force to about 5-6 BB, 2 CA, 5 CL, I AVP, 53 DD, 
and 53 SS.
 
         Following the capture.of SICILY, the Italian Navy may 
be divided on either side of ITALY, and will retire to its 
northern bases as far beyond air attack as possible. Its will 
to fight will be reduced and it is doubtful whether 
major units will be exposed to battle unless absolutely 
forced to do so by German pressure.
 
10. Estimate of UNITED NATIONS forces required (Appendix "D" -
      omitted)
     a. Ground.
          (1) Initial assault forces
             3 Infantry Divisions (amphibiously trained)........ 44,274
             1 Armored Division (amphibiously trained)........ 13,832
             1 Parachute Brigade (to be withdrawn later)...........3,822
             1 Airborne Division (to be withdrawn later)...........7,970
             Supporting troops..................................................71,787
                                                              Total................141,787
 
     (2) Follow-up forces
        3 Infantry Divisions..............................................44,274 
        1 Motorized Division............................................14,758 
        Supporting troops..................................................37,100
                                                          Total..................96,132
 
     (3) Army Service Forces..........................................73,779       
                                                          Total ground....311,596
 
     (4) Availability.
          It is estimated that the forces required will be
available in SICILY and NORTH AFRICA after the Sicilian
operation is completed.
 
 
 
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