ll. Political and economic estimate.
----------------------------------------
a. Political.
 
      Although the inhabitants of the Heel area are considered
 to be more loyal to the existing regime than those of the
 western part of southern ITALY, no serious, political problems
 should be involved in an occupation of this area. In fact,
 friendliness to American forces may well be anticipated.
 
b. Economic.
----------------
      ITALY, as a whole, would prove to be an economic
liability if she were occupied by the UNITED NATIONS. Pro-
vided general commitments based on political considerations
are avoided, occupation of the Heel should impose no serious
drain on UNITED NATIONS resources. Little, if any, food, fuel,
or other important supplies could be secured from the area.
 
  12. Supply and shipping requirements (Appendix "F" - omitted) 
 
a. Supply.
-----------
 
    Other than the danger that there may be a deficiency of
water, no unusual supply requirements are anticipated.
    Monthly supply estimates are based on 3% replacement in
 personnel, and 1.1 ship tons per man for maintenance.
 
b. Shipping.
 
    The following shipping, or its equivalent in smaller
 types, will be required:
 
(1) Assault phase:
 
                           APA       AKA      AK
                             53          23          6*                           
 
* These ships carry cargo of the armored division which is
moved in the Follow-up Phase.
 
(2) Follow-up phase:                  
 
         Based on an initial lift of the combat elements of 
two divisions, the following convoy loaded shipping 
is  required:
 
                    20 AP,
 
                    l4 AK (does not include the 6 AK shown in the
                              assault phase).
                                                                 
                                                         - 8 -