ANNEX EXCERPT FROM LETTER OF ADMIRAL LEAHY May 16, 1944. "From the point of view of national and world-wide security, our basic national policy in post-war settle- ments of this kind should seek to maintain the solidarity of the three great powers and in all other respects to establish conditions calculated to assure a long period of peace, during which, it may be hoped, arrangements will be perfected for the prevention of future world con- flicts. The cardinal importance of this national policy is emphasized by a consideration of the fundamental and revolutionary changes in relative national military strengths that are being brought about in Europe as a result of the war. "It would seem clear that there cannot be a world war, or even a great war, which does not find one or more of the great military powers on each side. At the conclusion of the present war, there will be, for the foreseeable future, only three such powers -- the United States, Britain and Russia. Since it would seem in the highest degree unlikely that Britain and Russia, or Russia alone, would be aligned against the United States, it is apparent that any future world conflict in the foreseeable future will find Britain and Russia in opposite camps. "In appraising possibilities of this nature, the outstanding fact to be noted is the recent phenomenal de- velopment of the heretofore latent Russian military and economic strength-- a development which seems certain to prove epochal in its bearing on future politico-military international relationships, and which has yet to reach the full scope attainable with Russian resources. In con- trast,as regards Britain several developments have combined to lessen her relative military and economic strength and gravely to impair, if not preclude, her ability to offer effective military opposition to Russia on the continent except possibly in defensive operations in the Atlantic coastal areas. In a conflict between these two powers the disparity in the military strengths that they could dispose upon that continent would, under present conditions, be far too great to be overcome by our intervention on the side of Britain. Having due regard to the military factors in- volved -- resources, manpower, geography and particularly our ability to project our strength across the ocean and exert it decisively upon the continent -- we might be able to successfully defend Britain, but we could not, under existing conditions, defeat Russia. In other words, we would find |