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long-run depend on the psychological disarmament of the German
people, tolerable economic conditions, and the development of
stable political conditions.
The most plausible hope for lasting political reconstruction
and orderly development lies in the establishment of democratic
government despite the fact that serious difficulties will beset
such an attempt. The Department of State therefore recommends
that it be made the aim of United States policy to prepare the
German people for self-government as soon as self-government is
possible in terms of internal conditions and security considera-
tions.
The successful establishment of a democratic regime will
depend in considerable measure not only on a tolerable standard
of living but also on a moderation of the ultra-nationalistic
mentality now dominant. A democratic experiment will labor under
a heavy burden because of its necessary submission to the will of
the victors and it must, if it is to survive, be able to offer
some claim to the loyalty and to the patriotism of the German
people. In order to encourage a constructive fresh start in
political life, the Department of State recommends that there be
offered to the Germans the assurance that a democratic Germany
which demonstrates its intention and ability to live at peace can
earn an honorable place in the society of nations. In order to
avoid raising an issue similar to that which, after 1919, was
exploited by the nationalists to discredit democracy and inter-
national cooperation, the Department of State opposes writing into
the peace settlement a war-guilt clause directed against the
German people as a whole.
2. Partition. The Department of State recommends that this
Government oppose the forcible partition of Germany.
An imposed dismemberment of Germany would not obviate the
necessity for enforcing the same security controls that should be
set up if Germany is left intact. Because of the high degree
of economic, political and cultural integration in Germany, it
must be anticipated that partition would not only have to be
imposed but also maintained by force. The victor powers, by
imposing partition, would take on themselves a burdensome and
never-ending task of preventing surreptitious collaboration between
the partite states and of restraining the nationalistic determi-
nation to reunite which would, in all probability, be the response
of the German people. The economic aspects of partition, finally,
would create a serious dilemma. A political dismemberment which
left the German economy substantially unified would have little
significance as a security measure; the disruption of German
economy, on the other hand, would carry with it an unnecessary
decline of the European, as well as the German, standard of living.
3. Decentralization