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raise the guestion of how far Russia, Japan, Italy and 
the Danube and Balkan countries would be prepared 
to cooperate. An examination of the probabilities in 
respect of these countries is not very promising.
 
         The consideration of the position of Russia suggests 
that it is extremely unlikely that the Soviet would be 
prepared to agree. The case of Japan is more doubtful 
as considerable pressure could be put upon her, poss-
ibly in association with the United States of America, 
once Britain and France were freed from the obligations 
which at present fetter their actions in the Far East. Japan's 
agreement, however, could only be obtained if she were 
relieved from the menace of Russia and the position in 
the Far East had been sorted out in such a way as to 
afford to Japan a reasonable opportunity to live and 
provide for her growing population.
 
        With the overwhelming strength that France and the 
United Kingdom would possess at the end of a victorious 
war, Italy could probably be forced to agree but the 
measure of pressure that could reasonably be applied to 
Italy would be dependent upon what it had been posslble 
to do with Russia. The Danube and Balkan countries 
would present a considerable problem which it would 
obviously be Impossible to solve with a strong and 
aggressive Russia intervening in these areas. In any 
event a disarmament agreement in these countries 
could only follow upon the settlement of many difficult 
territorial and racial questions.
 
        Assuming, however, that these difficult political 
problems could be resolved and agreement obtained 
among the nations to another disarmament conference, it 
is necessary to consider the problems that would have to be 
                                        
                                                        faced