full-scale Lend-Lease aid to RUSSIA will continue and JAPAN'S 
 
major efforts will be directed toward securing and exploiting
 
the territory she controls, and eliminating CHINA from the war.
 
17. If CHINA is eliminated from the war.
 
     JAPAN may succeed in eliminating CHINA as an active UNITED
 
NATIONS ally, either through Military action or political in-
 
trigue. If accomplished, JAPAN will be relieved of many of her
 
Military commitments in CHINA, will be free to employ the forces
 
thus relieved in other areas, and the prospect of bombing attack
 
from CHINA on her homeland will be eliminated.
 
UNITED NATIONS SITUATION
 
18. In the EUROPEAN - AFRICAN area, the bulk of the ground
                                                                       
forces are engaged on the RUSSIAN Front. The UNITED NATIONS
 
occupy advantageous positions for an air offensive against the
 
EUROPEAN AXIS and for invasion of the continent from their bases
 
in the UNITED KINGDOM and to a lesser degree in AFRICA. At
 
present the principal American and British ground forces in the
 
EUROPEAN - AFRICAN theater are concentrated in NORTH AFRICA. An
 
air offensive is proceeding and will continue at a gradually
 
increasing rate. The initiation of an invasion awaits the build 
 
up of essential forces and the logistic requirements for their
 
support. The time that it may be undertaken, the location of the
 
staging area, and the scale of effort required is dependent upon
 
the reduction of GERMANY'S war potential and morale through the
 
UNITED NATIONS air offensive and other means.
 
19. In the PACIFIC and FAR EAST, the UNITED NATIONS are in con-
 
tact with the enemy in the ALEUTIANS, the SOLOMONS- NEW GUINEA
 
area, BURMA, and CHINA. Limited offensives in these areas are de-
 
signed to apply pressure on the enemy, to accomplish attrition of
 
enemy forces including shipping, to retain the initiative, to gain 
 
positions for a full-scale offensive, and to sustain CHINA as an
 
active ally.
 
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