S E C R E T
 
          2 Marine Corps divisions - making a total of 6 
             Marine Corps divisions.
 
          2 Army divisions.
     b. Amphibious craft (See Appendices "A" .and "B")
             (1) It is estimated that 26 APAs and 7 AKAs will be 
     in service in the PACIFIC on January 1, 1944. This will 
     be sufficient to lift two amphibious divisions. Assuming
     that all APAs and AKAs becoming available for assignment 
     in 1944 are assigned to the PACIFIC, and allowing no 
     attrition after January 1, 1944, the following table 
     indicates the number available to meet all of the re-
     quirements in the PACIFIC theater:
               April 1, 1944  July 1, 1944   October 1, 1944   January 1, 1945
     APAs                31              43                 55                  63
     AKAs             8             20                 32                  40
 
     The CAROLINE operations alone will require 45 APAs.
     (2) It is estimated that under proposed allocations 
       (Appendix "A"), sufficient LSTs, LCI (L)s, and LCT (5)s
       will be available for one division to operate in shore to 
       shore movement.  A general discussion of losses from 
       attrition is contained in Appendix "B".
       NOTE:  Amphibious craft figures are subject to adjustment 
              if incompatible with operations determined upon in 
             BURMA and EUROPE.
 
       c. Ground (less amphibious), air, and naval forces
           The UNITED NATIONS have 14 offensive divisions in the 
SOUTH and SOUTHWEST PACIFIC Theaters. The deployment of 
these divisions cannot be determined far in advance of an 
actual operation. The requirements for the defense of 
important bases in the line of communications, and the 
necessity for rehabilitation of units greatly reduces the 
number of units actually available at any one time for
offensive action.
 
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