b.   Japan
     (1)  Defeat of Russia is clearly imminent, and CHINA continues in the war.
          If the defeat of RUSSIA in EUROPE becomes apparent in 1943, JAPAN will     attack SIBERIA and the major part of her offensive effort will be directed toward    RUSSIA in 1944.
     (2)  Defeat of RUSSIA not clearly imminent.
          JAPAN will not attack SIBERIA.  JAPAN will direct her major efforts toward
securing and exploiting the territory she controls, and eliminating CHINA from the war.
3.   Recommended UNITED NATIONS courses of action, 1943-1944 are as follows:    z
     a.   That the UNITED NATIONS main effort continue against the EUROPEAN AXIS,
with emphasis on the following in 1943:
     (1) Defeating the U-boat menace.
     (2) Accomplishing HUSKY.
     (3) Conducting a bomber offensive from the UNITED KINGDOM with a view to
reducing GERMANY'S war potential, and concentrating sppropriate forces so that a cross-
channel operation and exploitation from lodgements on the Continent will be feasible in 1944.
     (4) Conducting limited operations in the MEDITERRANEAN area within the capabilities
of the forces finally allocated after providing for the concentration of forces in the UNITED
KINGDOM for cross-chan~el operations and the exploitation of lodgements on the Continent.
     (5) Continuing air attacks against ITALY, without detracting from the air offensive from
the UNITED KINGDOM, with the object of eliminating ITALY from the war.
     (6) Furnishing supplies and equipment to RUSSIA.
     b. that forces be built up in the UNITED KINGDOM during 1943 and 1944 for:
     (1) Conducting a vigorous bomber offensive integrated with current and prospective
operations, invasion of the Continent.
 
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