WAR DEPARTMENT
            WAR DEPARTMENT GENERAL STAFF
           MILITARY INTELLIGENCE DIVISION
                              WASH I NGTON
 
                                        March lO, 1941
 
Subject: The Mediteranean Situation.
 
              Two German movements southvrard into the
 Mediteranean world are now in full swing.
 
              A German army or army group, under General
 Field Marshal List,  consisting of 16divisions, three of
 which are motorized and five armored,  has crossed the
 Danube and occupiedBulgaria. This movement southward,
 which is still in progress, has been coverod by strong
 concentrations of the Bulgarian army in the upper reaches
 of the Maritza valley and to the north of Adrianople.
 The direction of the German advance is still obscure. 
 However,  a part of the German army appears to be
 taking position in the Struma valley  to the northeast of
 Salonika and, hence constituting itself as a major threat
 to Greece.  The German advance through Bulgariais
 being protected by strong  German air forces, the Fourth
 Air Fleet, under the command of General of  Flyers Loehr.
 Twelve German divisions remain behind in Romania. This
 latter force continues to receive reinforcements from interior
 Germany.
 
              A second German army of undetermined strength
 is moving southward from Italy and Sicily into Libya. Very
 corfused and contradictory  reports from different European
 capitals speak of the strength of this army  as being 
somewhere between 3 and 12 divisions, a large part of which
are mechanized. Italian reinforcements are also being sent to 
Libya The transport movement between Sicily and Tripoli
 is being covered by strong  German and Italian air forces
 under the command of General of Flyers  Geissler. 
British submarines have inflicted losses on the Italian
ships comprising the convoys, but the German movement 
southward has  not thereby been interrupted. At the present
 time there appears to be not  more than two armored 
divisions of reduced strength in Libya.
 
        German mechanized unites are no in contact with
 British outposts to the southwest of Agheila. The German
 air force base in Libya appears to have  secure air supremacy
 as far east as Bengazi The British state that, due to constant
 German air attacks, the