MEMORANDUM.
General Smuts was sent a copy of the Aide Memoire presented
to the State Department on July 12th setting forth the anxiety
of His Majesty's Government as to possible economic peace proposal
$o be launched by Hitler. The essence of this proposal was that
the world would enter a new and unparalleled era of prosperity
if it accepted the totalitarian management of Europe by Germany
and that the only obstacle in the way of this era of prosperity
was the resistance of Great Britain. To this General Smuts has
replied saying that he thinks that it is probable that Hitler
will start a peace offensive at an early date with either suggestions
for a conference or of peace proposals launched before or after
an attack on Britain. General Smuts has doubts about a blitzkrieg
on Britain for the present because he thinks that British naval
supremacy and the efficiency of the Royal Air Force are two formidable
obstacles.
General Smuts thinks therefore that an alternative plan may
be in contemplation, that would consist of Further encirclement
of Great Britain by attempts to seize the Faroe Islands and Iceland
on the right flank and Spain, Portugal and Gibralter on the left.
Hitler would then have isolated Britain from Europe, especially
if the surrender of Gibraltar entailed the withdrawal of the
British fleet from the Mediterranean and the loss of the middle
East. With practically the whole of Europe in his hands and with
Russia