It is today clear that the number of weapons available for
Great Britain in 194l, while sufficient to enable her to resist,
will not enable her to conquer.
The number of weapons which Great Britain will have to carry
on the war during 194l is known and though their production can
be accelerated, it cannot be greatly increased because it is
the result of the capacity of production laid down in England
and the United States during 1939 and 1940. The major part of
the planes that the United States will produce during the first
half of 1941 is the result of the productive capacity laid down
in the spring of 1940.
For England to conquer Germany in 1942 it is essential that
she maintain her control of the seas, that she maintain her mercantile
fleet strength, that she establish her domination in the air,
and that she obtain a striking force for air, sea and land at
home, and striking power through the air abroad. Dominance of
the air is England's only protection against the ultimate destruction
of her essential industries by enemy bombing over a prolonged
period of time.
Since British production is already geared to its maximum,
she must obtain from the United States the balance of the supplies
that will enable her to top the German strength in 1942. To achieve
this, an immense effort is necessary here. To result in effective
supplies in 1942, this effort must be decided, planned and made
now, and made on a scale that will permit supremacy and victory
in 1942. Indeed, neither human will nor genius can change during
1942 the process of production based on decisions taken now.