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and Italy naval and aerial control of the passage from the north
to the south Atlantic. This would compel South Africa and possibly
parts of South America to make terms with the victorious totalitarian
powers. The occupation of Singapore by Japan would give her control
of the Indian Ocean and enable her to impose such terms as she
liked on Australia and New Oealand as the price of not interrupting
their trade communications with Europe on the one side and the
Americas on the other.
The political and economic consequences of such a transformation
of the world on the United States are discussed in Section 3
of the Memorandum. The strategic consequences would be to compel
the United States in the interests of their own defence not only
to multiply armaments enormously, but to demand and if necessary
seize aerial and naval bases, at least in the Atlantic, a thousand
miles from her shores, just as to-day she has the Aleutian Islands
and Hawaii far out in the Pacific. In order to buy off her hostility
the victorious totalitarian powers would probably offer to transfer
to the United States the British West Indian Islands and possibly
French and British Guiana. On the other hand they might demand
the use of a naval and aerial base in Ireland, which in the last
resort Ireland would be impotent to refuse. Portugal and Spain
would almost certainly come within their orbit, so that they
would obtain control of the Azores, Madeira and Teneriffe. What
the political effect of this totalitarian triumph on South America
would be it is difficult to estimate, but it would certainly
make the military defence of the Monroe Doctrine by the United
States a tremendously formidable undertaking.
11.
The second alternative is that the traditional method of "squeeze"
through power politics, that is to say the placing of your opponent
in such a position that at the particular point it is impossible
for him to resist the "gangster" technique which was
appl %ied both in the case of Austria and Czechoslovakia will be
progressively applied both to