- 2 - and Italy naval and aerial control of the passage from the north to the south Atlantic. This would compel South Africa and possibly parts of South America to make terms with the victorious totalitarian powers. The occupation of Singapore by Japan would give her control of the Indian Ocean and enable her to impose such terms as she liked on Australia and New Oealand as the price of not interrupting their trade communications with Europe on the one side and the Americas on the other. The political and economic consequences of such a transformation of the world on the United States are discussed in Section 3 of the Memorandum. The strategic consequences would be to compel the United States in the interests of their own defence not only to multiply armaments enormously, but to demand and if necessary seize aerial and naval bases, at least in the Atlantic, a thousand miles from her shores, just as to-day she has the Aleutian Islands and Hawaii far out in the Pacific. In order to buy off her hostility the victorious totalitarian powers would probably offer to transfer to the United States the British West Indian Islands and possibly French and British Guiana. On the other hand they might demand the use of a naval and aerial base in Ireland, which in the last resort Ireland would be impotent to refuse. Portugal and Spain would almost certainly come within their orbit, so that they would obtain control of the Azores, Madeira and Teneriffe. What the political effect of this totalitarian triumph on South America would be it is difficult to estimate, but it would certainly make the military defence of the Monroe Doctrine by the United States a tremendously formidable undertaking. 11. The second alternative is that the traditional method of "squeeze" through power politics, that is to say the placing of your opponent in such a position that at the particular point it is impossible for him to resist the "gangster" technique which was appl %ied both in the case of Austria and Czechoslovakia will be progressively applied both to |