-9-
and prosperity can only be found in our modern world of shrunken
time and space, by its integration into four or five economic
and political groups- the Monroe system, the Franco-British system,
the Germanic system, Russia, and the Japano-Chinese system. Each
could be relatively self-supporting economically. Each could
make itself defensively secure at not too great cost. Each could
obtain what it wanted from outside either by barter or between
the democratic groups by relatively free trade. The world might
settle down to a long peace and security in which the forces
for freedom everywhere would once more have an opportunity to
develop.
But the condition of such a development is not only that the
League powers no longer claim to dominate or maintain anarchy
in Europe and the Far East - a claim destroyed at Munich and
Shanghai but that the democracies are sufficiently strong and
united to make attack on their oceanic system of defence an impracticable
task.
The decision of these vast issues now rests with the United
States. Great Britain and France are no longer strong enough
to do it alone. They are on the defensive; the totalitarian powers
are on the offensive. Whichever way we look the future of the
world rests with the United States. The choice is inexorably
presented to her. Either she will become the centre of the world,
not crusading in Europe or Asia, but the main director of the
policies of the democracies and organiser of their security;
or she will watch the gradual disintegration of the old oceanic
defences of democracy and become almost the last really independent
democratic state in the world - with what results on her internal
condition none can predict.