The Jugoslav political situation is considered here under
 
three headings:
 
         (A) What seems to be the present Jugoslav political posi-
 
         tion;
 
(B) What seems to be the likely political outcome of this
 
situation, in so far as we can forecast it, and
 
(C) To what extent are any or all of the United Nations cap-
 
able of, or desirous of, influencing this outcome in any
 
way.
 
            A     WHAT SEEMS TO BE THE PRESENT
                    JUGOSLAV POLITICAL POSITION                                      .
 
The present political situation in Jugoslavia seems to contain
 
what is, at least, a superficial and temporary change from
 
its characteristic aspect over the past many years; but it is
 
not yet altogether clear whether this change will become basic
 
and permanent. All of the sectional and factional differences
 
which have divided and disrapted this area in the past are still
 
present, in a sub-acute bat potentially dangerous form, for future revival. The principal religious 
 
groups -- Greek Orthodox, Catholic, and Moslem-- are still distinct, individual entities
 
although, for the moment, they are all working apparently har-
 
moniously together onder the Partisan banner and for the common
 
purpose of expelling the enemy. Similarly, the regional groups