COPY                            
 
                                                            
 
 
FUTURE RELATIONS BETWEEN  
                                                            
 
THE UNITED STATES AND THE UNITED KINGDOM  
                                                            
 
                      July 27th, 1941.                      
 
                                                            
 
 
1. This paper assumes that the United States will ultimately become a   
belligerent and make sacrifices of human lives to attain an end in which their  
government and the majority of the people have already admitted they have a  
paramount interest. If the war were to be won without such aid it is probable  
that in neither country would public opinion support a close association for  
the purpose of maintaining peace and, though some form of economic collaboration  
would be inevitable, it would probably be confined to immediate issues. If   
however the United States enters the war the association of the two countries  
already close will become much more definite, a number of common organizations  
will be set up and above all there will be a comradeship of arms which should  
have profound effects on public opinion in both countries. Moreover in such a  
case the fact that the United States has twice had to enter a world war will  
cause a revulsion against the isolationist policy pursued in the United States  
                during the period 1921-1939.                
 
                                                            
 
 
2.  Much will depend on the contribution of other countries to the overthrow  
of the Nazi regime. The part that the U.S.S.R. plays in it will obviously  
influence Anglo-American relations. The situation will also be altered if the  
occupied countries act decisively in the final stages. Much will also depend  
on the exact circumstances in which the United States enters the war and this  
depends on the issue of the Battle of the Atlantic and the Battle of Britain  
          in the course of this summer and autumn.          
 
                                                            
 
 
3. Whatever these particular circumstances may be, however, there are strong  
forces drawing the two countries together. Britain has seen herself and her  
Empire at the verge of destruction and only able to maintain the struggle by  
means of American help freely given. Whatever the attitude towards the  
Continent of Europe it seems certain that the majority of the British people  
will be glad to enter into a partnership with the greatest Power in the world.  
The United States have felt themselves in great danger and though this feeling  
will diminish with the destruction of German power and the organization of their  
own vast resources, it is not likely to be forgotten quickly. They will  
certainly seek some system of security, largely no doubt dependent on rendering  
Germany impotent, but also by making the control of the oceans AngloAmerican  
and so organizing air power that no threat can be made against the United States  
                from either Europe or Asia.                 
 
                                                            
 
 
4. For this purpose some partnership with the British Commonwealth is essential.  
Both sides have much to give to the