CCS 381 Germany (2-11-42)
 
J. P. S. 5/1                            COPY NO.         
 
                       FEBRURARY 11, 1942
                                
                   JOINT U.S. STAFF PLANNERS
                                
      SUMMARY OF RECENT JOINT INTELLIGENCE SUB-COMMITTEE'S
                                
              APPRECIATION OF GERMANY'S INTENTIONS
                                
                       Note by Secretary
 
     The enclosure, prepared by the Joint Intelligence Committee in collaboration with the
Joint Strategical Committee, in accordance with directive of J.P.S. 5, is circulated for
consideration by the Joint U.S. Staff Planners.
 
                              L. R. McDOWELL
 
                           ENCLOSURE
                                
MEMORANDUM FOR JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF COMMITTEE:
 
               Subject:  Comments on a British Appreciation of Germany's
                         intentions
 
               References:    (a) Medal 65, a summary of a recent British Joint
                         Intelligence Sub-Committee appreciation of Germany's
                         intentions.
                         (b) Memorandum, Joint Staff Planners, February 2, 1942.
 
     1.   Reference (b) forwarded reference (a) to the Joint Intelligence Committee and the
Joint Strategical Committee for collaborative study and comment.  The Joint Strategical
Committee has collaborated in the preparation of this paper, and concurs therein.
     2.   This Committee believes that Germany cannot undertake a major offensive
elsewhere before having destroyed Russia's military power.  It, therefore, agrees in general with
the conclusions stated in paragraph 12 of the British J.I.C. appreciation.  The most probable
German major offensive operations during 1942 will be an attack on Russia intended to complete
the destruction of the Russian Army and to gain access to the oil of the Caucasus.  Meanwhile,
every effort will be