d. While purporting to support Russia it can hardly fail to arouse Russian suspicions as to the future of the Dardanelles. It should be noted that because of the advent of air power, supplemented by the submarine, British posses- sion of the Dodecanese with the continuance of the control they have consistently exercised over Greece, would serve to bar the transit of the Straits by Russia substantially as effectively as if the British held the shores of the Straits themselves. e. It will be increasingly difficult to maintain popular acceptance of such action in the United States -- particularly in view of the continuing threat in the Pacific. f. It assumes an early and complete accomplishment of HUSKY. This assumption seems less likely of realization than the contrary one that this operation will be long drawn-out and costly. Should the British insist on operations to the east of Sicily, the United States should inform them (1) that they will have to rely entirely on British resources, and (2) that to the extent such employment of resources detracts from the effectiveness of operations directly against Germany, the United States may be forced to increase its commitments in the Pacific. 5. We are firmly of the opinion that sound basic strategy for conducting the war in Europe requires that the major effort against Germany be made from the United Kingdom by SICKLE now and by ROUNDUP in 1944. We realize however that there is some force in the arguments that post-HUSKY operations in the western Mediterranean will-- a. maintain the momentum of HUSKY. b. employ resources available there, which cannot be transferred to the United Kingdom this year. c. furnish support to Russia. |