d. While purporting to support Russia it can hardly fail
to arouse Russian suspicions as to the future of the
Dardanelles. It should be noted that because of the advent
of air power, supplemented by the submarine, British posses-
sion of the Dodecanese with the continuance of the control
they have consistently exercised over Greece, would serve to
bar the transit of the Straits by Russia substantially as
effectively as if the British held the shores of the Straits
themselves.
e. It will be increasingly difficult to maintain popular acceptance
of such action in the United States -- particularly in view of the continuing
threat in the Pacific.
f. It assumes an early and complete accomplishment of
HUSKY. This assumption seems less likely of realization than
the contrary one that this operation will be long drawn-out
and costly.
Should the British insist on operations to the east of Sicily,
the United States should inform them (1) that they will have to
rely entirely on British resources, and (2) that to the extent such
employment of resources detracts from the effectiveness of operations
directly against Germany, the United States may be forced to increase
its commitments in the Pacific.
5. We are firmly of the opinion that sound basic strategy for
conducting the war in Europe requires that the major effort
against Germany be made from the United Kingdom by SICKLE now and
by ROUNDUP in 1944. We realize however that there is some force in
the arguments that post-HUSKY operations in the western
Mediterranean will--
a. maintain the momentum of HUSKY.
b. employ resources available there, which cannot be transferred to the
United Kingdom this year.
c. furnish support to Russia.