ENCLOSURE "A"
 
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS OF THE SEIZURE AND OCCUPATION
                          OF THE TOE OF ITALY
 
5. Problem.
    Determine the merits and possibilities of an operation 
subsequent to HUSKY to seize the Toe of ITALY with the forces
then available.                                                    
 
6. Assumptions.
    It is assed that: 
    a. Maximum air operations from the UNITED KINGDOM against 
GERMANY will continue, and that build-up continues in the 
UNITED KINGDOM for the defeat of GERMANY to be attained by 
operations initiated in 1944 from the UNITED KINGDOM.
    b. TURKEY.
        (1) Remains neutral.
        (2) Becomes an active UNITED NATIONS ally.
    c. SPAIN continues neutral. 
    d. ITALY continues as an active AXIS participant. 
    e. GERMANY resumes the offensive against RUSSIA, 
assumes the defensive on other fronts, and intensifies 
the war of attrition against UNITED NATIONS shipping. 
No final decision is reached on the Russian front.
    f. JAPAN remains on-the strategic defensive and con-
solidates her gains.
 
    7. Enemy dispositions, capabilities, and intentions, 1943.
        a. GERMAN capabilities with regard to ITALY are as follows:
            (1) Defend the whole peninsula, 
            (2) defend the APPENINES near ROME, 
            (3) defend north ITALY along the line of the P0 RIVER, 
            (4) defend the German and French frontiers, 
            (5) conduct a step-by-step defensive, calculated to pro-
            long the campaign, making maximum use of Italian forces.
 
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