GERMANY does not intend to hold ITALY by such Military action
as may be required. In such circumstances, it can be assumed
that the resistance of the Italian Military forces to our
invasion will be of a low order. This would obviously
reduce immeasurably the hazards of conducting amphibious
operations against the Heel. It follows, logically, that the
choice would then rest between two feasible operations (Toe
or Heel) both of which are within the 1943 capabilities of
the UNITED NATIONS in the MEDITERRANEAN. It has been
shown that possession of the Heel offers strategic advantages that
far exceed those for the Toe. Therefore, under the circum-
stances assumed -- a tottering ITALY -- operations against
the Heel of ITALY (as compared to the Toe) would be the more
acceptable.
15. Toe vs. SARDINIA and CORSICA.
a. National and international pressure on the UNITED
NATIONS political leadership may demand "doing something"
against the European AXIS, in addition to the air bombardment
offensive from the UNITED KINGDOM, during the extended period
between a successful HUSKY and a ROUNDUP. In this event,
there are two separate circumstances in the MEDITERRANEAN
area that might obtain: ITALY might or might not be on the
verge of collapse or surrender.
b. If she were on the verge of collapse, it was concluded
above that UNITED NATIONS operations against the Heel of ITALY
would be more acceptable than operations against the Toe.
Under these circumstances, operations against SARDINIA and
CORSICA should not be considered.
c. If, however, following HUSKY, ITALY is not on the verge
of collapse (or GERMANY has reinforced ITALY) and political
pressure requires "doing something", J.C.S. 293, "LIMITED
OPERATIONS IN THE MEDITERRANEAN IN 1943-44," has con-
cluded that "being of moderate size and, in general, the least
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