GERMANY does not intend to hold ITALY by such Military action as may be required. In such circumstances, it can be assumed that the resistance of the Italian Military forces to our invasion will be of a low order. This would obviously reduce immeasurably the hazards of conducting amphibious operations against the Heel. It follows, logically, that the choice would then rest between two feasible operations (Toe or Heel) both of which are within the 1943 capabilities of the UNITED NATIONS in the MEDITERRANEAN. It has been shown that possession of the Heel offers strategic advantages that far exceed those for the Toe. Therefore, under the circum- stances assumed -- a tottering ITALY -- operations against the Heel of ITALY (as compared to the Toe) would be the more acceptable. 15. Toe vs. SARDINIA and CORSICA. a. National and international pressure on the UNITED NATIONS political leadership may demand "doing something" against the European AXIS, in addition to the air bombardment offensive from the UNITED KINGDOM, during the extended period between a successful HUSKY and a ROUNDUP. In this event, there are two separate circumstances in the MEDITERRANEAN area that might obtain: ITALY might or might not be on the verge of collapse or surrender. b. If she were on the verge of collapse, it was concluded above that UNITED NATIONS operations against the Heel of ITALY would be more acceptable than operations against the Toe. Under these circumstances, operations against SARDINIA and CORSICA should not be considered. c. If, however, following HUSKY, ITALY is not on the verge of collapse (or GERMANY has reinforced ITALY) and political pressure requires "doing something", J.C.S. 293, "LIMITED OPERATIONS IN THE MEDITERRANEAN IN 1943-44," has con- cluded that "being of moderate size and, in general, the least - 9 - |