- 3 -
 
     (5) Joining hands between Germany and Japan and
     the probable loss of the Indian Ocean.
 
     (6) The very important probability of German
     occupation of Tunis, Algiers, Morocco, Dakar
     and the cutting of the ferry route through
     Freetown and Liberia.
 
 
     (7) Serious danger of all shipping in the South
     Atlantic and serious danger to Brazil and the
     whole of the East Coast of South America.  I
     include in the above possibilities the use by
     the Germans of Spain, Portugal and other
     territories.
 
     (8) You will          the best methods of holding
     the Middle East.  These methods include definitely:
 
               (a) Sending aid and ground forces to the
               Persian Gulf, to Syria and to Egypt.
 
               (b) A new operation in Morocco and Algiers
               intended to drive in against the backdoor
               of Rommel's armies The attitude of French
               Colonial troops is still in doubt.
 
     (9) I am opposed to an American all-out effort
in the Pacific against Japan with the view to her defeat 
as quickly as possible unless no plan can be worked out
for British and American unity of action in Europe and
African beginning in 1942.  It is of the utmost importance
that we appreciate that defeat of Japan does not defeat
Germany and that American concentration against Japan
this year or in 1943 increases the chances of complete
German domination of Europe and Africa.  On the other
hand, it is obvious that defeat of Germany, or the holding
of Germany in 1942 or 1943 means probable, eventual
defeat of Germany in the European and Africa theatres
and in the Near East.  Defeat of Germany means the defeat
of Japan, probably without firing a shot or losing a life.
 
     (10) Please remember three cardinal principles--
speed of decision on plans, unity of plans, attack combined
with defense but not defense alone.
 
     (11) I hope for total agreement within one week 
of your arrival.
 
 
                    COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF