- 2 - 4. British and American material to Russia must be carried out in good faith. If the Persian route of delivery is used, preference must be given to combat material. This aid must continue as long as delivery is possible and Russia must be encouraged to continue resistance. Only complete collapse, which seems unthinkable, should alter this determination on our part. 5. In regard to 1942, you will carefully investigate the possibility of executing SLEDGEHAMMER. Such an operation would definitely sustain Russia this year. It might be the turning point which would save Russia this year. SLEDGEHAMMER is of such grave importance that grave reasons are to accomplish it. You should strongly urge immediate all-out preparations for it, that it be pushed with utmost vigor, and that it be executed whether or not Russian xxxxxxxxx collapse becomes imminent. In the event of probable Russian collapse, SLEDGEHAMMER becomes not merely advisable but imperative. The principle objective of SLEDGEHAMMER is the positive diversion of German Air Forces from the Russian Front. 6. Only if you are completely convinced that SLEDGEHAMMER is impossible of execution with reasonable chances of serving its intended purpose, inform me. 7. If SLEDGEHAMMER is finally and definitely out of tee picture, I want you to consider the world situation as it exists at that time. It is my present view of the world picture that: (a) If Russia contains a large German force against her, ROUNDUP becomes possible in 1943, and plans for ROUNDUP should be immediately considered and prepa- ration made for it. (b) If Russia collapses and German air and ground forces are released, ROUNDUP may be impossible of fulfillment in 1943. 8. The Middle East should be held as strongly as possible whether Russia collapses or not. I want you to take into consideration the effect of losing the Middle East. Such loss means in series: (1) Loss of Egypt and the Suez Canal. (2) Loss of Syria. (3) Loss of Mosul oil wells. (4) Loss of the Persian Gulf through attacks from the north and west, together with access to all Persian Gulf oil. |