which will best promote the adopted course. As I see affairs
today, answers to the following broad questions will be most
useful to the Navy:
(A) Shall our principal military effort be directed
toward hemisphere defense, and include chiefly those activities
within the Western Hemisphere which contribute directly to
security against attack in either or both oceans? An affirma-
tive answer would indicate that the United States, as seems
now to be the hope of this country, would remain out of war
unless pushed into it. If and when forced into war, the
greater portion of our Fleet could remain for the time being
in its threatening position in the Pacific, but no major effort
would be exerted overseas either to the east or the west; the
most that would be done for allies, besides providing material
help, would be to send detachments to assist in their defense.
It should be noted here that, were minor help to be given in
one direction, public opinion might soon push us into giving
it major support, as was the case in the World War.
Under this plan, our influence upon the outcome of
the European War would be small.
(B) Shall we prepare for a full offensive against
Japan, premised on assistance from the British and Dutch forces
in the Far East, and remain on the strict defensive in the
Atlantic? If this course is selected, we would be placing
full trust in the British to hold their own indefinitely in
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