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(2) American Poltical Conditions  
Subject to improved military conditions, as outlined above,  
it is evident that both British and American Irish policy should be   
guided by a realization of the existence of Irish anti-British groups in   
the United States. Even if they dwindle in importance and power, they   
should always be considered and no gratuitous affront should  
                      be given  them.                       
 
                                                            
 
 
(3) Irish Political conditions  
British policy, and, in general, American policy also, should recognize   
the existence in Ireland of a very small minority actively pro-British   
under all circumstances, of a more considerable minority inclined to be   
pro-British but ready to withdraw to a Nationalist position if affronted   
by tactless British action, and a still larger body of opinion which,   
taken together with the minorities already mentioned, constitutes   
probably 80 percent of the population who oppose a Hitler victory but   
          would like to see "England nearly bate".          
 
                                                            
 
        QUESTIONS OF SUPPLY AND ECONOMIC PRESSURES.         
 
                                                            
 
 
 Ireland is dependent on Britain for practically her entire coal supply,   
her entire supply of petrol and other petroleum  
products, as well as for arms, most of the raw materials used by Irish   
industries, and all but the simplest tools. At present the coal outlook   
in Ireland contemplates at least a 50 percent reduction from the year   
before, and the coal being supplied is so inferior that locomotive engines   
have difficulty in maintaining steam and usually run many hours late, even   
on short runs. The effort to substitute turf for coal is being made but   
with only partial success. The administration of the effort, like most of   
the administrative efforts of the Irish Government, has been badly   
co-ordinated and ineffective. There will